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Fibonacci Numbers - ancient mystery or mere coincidence?
Aaron Lynch
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This months article by HUBB trainer and product specialist, Aaron Lynch looks at Fibonacci Retracements and how this 13th century number sequence is applied to the markets of today.
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An introduction to scanning
The Trading Tutors desk
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Have you discovered the power of the scanning feature which is included in your FoxTrader? We're pleased to report that many clients have been running the software through its paces and can't stop praising this easy to use and effective feature.
Read more |
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Time by Degrees - A Natural Phenomenon
Noel Campbell
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For those of you who are yet to discover the power of Time by Degrees, you still have the most powerful addition to your Gann trading arsenal to add to the equation. While swing trading and focussing on the importance of ranges, milestones and percentage retracements will always remain a core part of your analysis and trading - Time by Degrees will most likely prove (as it has for many) your most valuable trading tool.
Read more |
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Elliott – Fine Tuning our Waves
Aaron Lynch
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Following on from last week’s article we have a better appreciation for Elliott’s Wave analysis.
Read more |
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BHP – The Big Australian Under The Microscope
Noel Campbell
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In this week’s article I have some interesting analysis on BHP, the Australian icon stock (well, once a full blooded Australian stock).
Read more |
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Elliott Wave
Aaron Lynch
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RN Elliott is a name that many traders come across in their study of financial markets. So in this article I am going to look at the basis of Elliott Wave and its impact on the market.
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Advanced ABC Trading in the Spotlight
Noel Campbell
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While the SPI200 has been creeping its way forward in this current up leg, we have not been presented with ranges large enough to allow us an entry using ABC trading rules.
Read more |
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ISFs - Get Leverage Power on your side
Noel Campbell
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In this week’s article we will spend some time covering the topic of Individual Share Futures (ISFs).
Read more |
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ANZ – A Short Story?
Noel Campbell
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The banks have been one of the big success stories for those who have been buying stock since the major low of the broader index early in March.
Read more |
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Retracement Trades the Byproduct of Falling Momentum
Aaron Lynch
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In this week’s article I want to cover the concept of retracement trades. Looking at the XAO we can see that over the last 12 months there has seen a significant downward movement.
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Are We Ready for Take Off?
Noel Campbell
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Anyone out there interested in discussing the answer to the question “where to next?”, for the Dow Jones? Yes! We will address that question this week.
Read more |
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NCP - Showing Strength at 50%
Aaron Lynch
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Focusing on price and volume individually can spell out key information to us in the market.
Read more |
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It’s All Random – Really It Is
Noel Campbell
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This weeks article has an example of a more advanced technical approach that will blow you away and get you thinking about your future education.
Read more |
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Volume - The Forgotten Ally
Aaron Lynch
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In turbulent times in the market, traders can be swept up in the movement of price and its emotion and forget that a powerful tool lies at their fingertips; you just need to remember to look.
Read more |
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False Breaks – An Enemy of the Technical Trader
Noel Campbell
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Most of the readers of this newsletter would be technical traders. I feel that is a fairly safe assumption.
Read more |
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Short Selling & The Gribbles Group!
Aaron Lynch
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Wondering who the Gribbles Group is? Probably doesn't ring any bells. What about short selling? Well keep on reading then.
Read more |
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Stocks and Bonds – The New Odd Couple
Noel Campbell
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Here we are in early April 2003 and there appears no end in sight to the volatility in the markets.
Read more |
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A Better Perspective on RIO
Noel Campbell
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We have seen significant volatility in the markets over the past couple of years. Some traders love volatility, while others loathe it.
Read more |
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A Follow-up on the NAB Double Top Trade
Noel Campbell
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Back in Issue 19 of the Trading Tutors Newsletter I went through the details of a Double Top trade on NAB.
Read more |
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The SPI200 Keeps Marching On
Noel Campbell
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The SPI200 appears to be attached to some helium balloons and keeps drifting upward. The Pressure Points around the high 3190’s have been broken without much of a reaction.
Read more |
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Gann versus Elliott – Battle of the Titans!
Noel Campbell
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My article last week on the SPI200 has aroused the attention of some of the more dedicated Elliott Wave traders. This week I’ll carry out a further review of the analysis given last week, to help keep those in both the Gann and Elliott camps happy.
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ANZ Pressure Points in Price and Time
Aaron Lynch
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When traders first embark on studies in the market most begin with the study of Price. This could be said to be the first dimension in your studies. As your knowledge and real life trading in the market progresses, you may start to see that cycles in the market repeat on a regular basis and this may lure you into investigating the understanding of Time analysis or the second dimension.
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The Power of Confirmation
Noel Campbell
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The SPI200 intercepted some good numbers around the high 3240’s on 9 September and this was one of the price areas I and other clients were watching.
Read more |
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ABC Trading and Overseas Equities Markets
Aaron Lynch
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Most traders when they first get started logically target their local market as the place to make their first trade.
Read more |
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The Review of the Last Week on the SPI200
Noel Campbell
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As I indicated last week in my article, ‘The Power of Confirmation’, the SPI200 had threatened to show some opportunities to profit on the short side of the market.
Read more |
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Stop Loss Strategies
Aaron Lynch
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In all forms of long-term investing and short-term trading, deciding the appropriate time to exit a position is just as important as, if not more important than, determining the best time to enter into your position.
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The Power of Pressure Points – Knowing When to Take a Profit
Noel Campbell
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The SPI 200 has experienced a remarkable run up over the past few days, perhaps exceeding the expectations of even the bulls in the market. Over the past couple of weeks, I referred to the potential for an opportunity on the short side, relating to the recent Double Tops in September. I can personally testify to the good profit opportunity that presented itself with this short trade. If you were still holding that trade, the story would be very different now. Suffice to say, I have long since covered any short position.
Read more |
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Bonds, the SPI and the 50% Danger Zone
Aaron Lynch
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Plenty has been written by the Trading Tutors this year regarding bond and equity pricing. We have seen the inverse relationship that occurs between these markets and also at odd times where pricing can move in the same direction. Rather than continuing the debate on where and why these prices are moving I wanted to draw your attention to an interesting situation as to where both markets are positioned right now.
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Westpac – A Short Story?
Noel Campbell
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The markets are at an extremely interesting point at the moment. The run up of the overall index has been outstanding and the fundamentals of the economy are continuing to show strength. At the top of markets things always seem the most bullish and the news of recent times indicates caution may be in order for the contrarian.
Read more |
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Swing Trading and SGB
Aaron Lynch
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Swing charts represent a powerful tool in entering and exiting the market. Much has been written this year about ABC trading and the simplicity of trading with the trend. Swing charts give a very clear indication of trend and trading with the trend is the most effective way to gain profits in the market. There are other elements that an ABC trader should expand on and it comes from mastering the swing charts and understanding its subtleties. It’s really an extension of the basic concepts of ranges and direction.
Read more |
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Sugar is Sweet
Noel Campbell
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This week I have come across a very exciting prospect to share. A recent article I received via email, mentioned that there is a
fundamental opportunity coming up to profit on the long side of the Sugar market.
Read more |
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Weighing up the SPI 200
Jordan Craw
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An important element in this decision should involve choosing a diverse range of markets that are not too closely related. Thus decreasing the chances of the markets you follow all moving sideways at once.
Read more |
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Westpac – A Short Story Update
Noel Campbell
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Back in Trading Tutors Newsletter, Issue # 32, I wrote about a Head and Shoulders Pattern that has formed on Westpac (WBC). The diagnosis at the stage was that the stock was most likely going to bounce in the short term after retesting the support of the ‘neckline’. Two weeks have passed and with the market action of today it’s timely to review the prevailing market movements.
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Euro Dollar - Uncharted Waters?
Aaron Lynch
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Those who have kept a keen eye on the fate of the Euro dollar since its inception in 1999 would have seen an all time high against the US dollar recently. This has caused a stir within currency markets and economies as a whole, with discussions about what the likely long term effects are of a strong Euro and a weak US dollar may be. This is a debate I will leave to others in the market as I will look purely at the technical aspects to make my decisions. In this case some very basic but powerful chart patterns jump straight out.
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Oil Post Iraq War
Jordan Craw
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With the recent war in Iraq, the price action of crude oil and the products derived from it have been widely effected. Even though the spotlight has been lifted on the Iraqi conflict somewhat, continuing outbreaks in the region are providing the uncertainty that presents strong trades to those who are experienced.
Read more |
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Euro Dollar More Fuel to the Fire
Aaron Lynch
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Following on from last week’s article on the Euro Dollar, I wanted to introduce a couple more concepts to highlight the position this market is currently in. Last week I looked at the idea of the Euro moving into uncharted waters as it looked likely to continue past it’s all time high.
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Tubb’s And The SPI?
Jordan Craw
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Recently I haven’t had to go far to hear or see suggestions that the next bull market is already under way. It seems the concerns and pessimism relating to the capitalist world has fallen by the way side in the wake of the Iraq War. One thing the world learnt earlier this century was that war is good for economies. It generates spending across many areas in industry and in turn creates jobs. With the focus shifted back to general affairs now the war is over, corporate America especially needs to ask itself if the reasons for its previous market downturn have actually been alleviated.
Read more |
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The Safest Place To Buy!
Noel Campbell
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In a recent Issue of the Trading Tutors Newsletter I wrote about a pending movement in the New York Sugar # 11 (SB) contract based upon a 30 Year Cycle. As you would well imagine I have been closely following the Sugar # 11 contract over the past weeks.
Read more |
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Aussie Dollar – The Power of Ranges
Noel Campbell
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David Bowden has said many times in the past that when it comes to Gann analysis, â€Your hindsight will become your foresight, if used often enough’. There is great benefit in students just taking the time to pour over charts and find examples of the market proving the rules.
Read more |
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A Longer Term Short on NAB
Jordan Craw
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With many of our articles relating to short term movement, I thought it would be somewhat refreshing to see more on the ABC techniques being applied over a longer term.
Read more |
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Harmony in your Analysis
Noel Campbell
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Welcome back all Safety in the Market clients and Trading Tutors Newsletter readers. The market action on the Stock Indices over the past week has given us some indication that we are in for some volatility over the next few weeks, perhaps months.
Read more |
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2004 - Off to a Flying Start?
Aaron Lynch
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Sitting down to start the contributions to the Trading Tutors Newsletter for 2004, two things come to mind. The strong bullish movement we have seen since March 2003 has continued, though in more recent times a more sideways pattern has started to form. The second is looking back at the last article I wrote last year on the Dow Jones, my analysis at that point was making me think a pause in the rally might be order. The retracement never came and the Dow with most of the major world markets continued to move strongly over the Christmas and New Year period.
Read more |
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RIO In Price and Time
Aaron Lynch
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Those of you who have followed my Trading Tutors articles in 2003 will have noticed a few articles from me on RIO. It''s only early 2004 and RIO is again on the analysis horizon.
Read more |
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The Need for Speed
Noel Campbell
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Back in the first issue of the Trading Tutors Newsletter for 2004 I wrote about how the Dow Jones was in a potentially exciting position.
Read more |
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NCM Double Tops and ABC Trading
Aaron Lynch
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A question that often arises in discussion is what does and what doesn''t constitute a double top or double bottom.
Read more |
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Bulls on the Rampage
Noel Campbell
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You would be starting to find it difficult to find a single trader who has not felt the overall share market was due for a decent correction before now. The bulls are on the rampage with many dead bears laying in the wake.
Read more |
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ANZ and Time Frames
Aaron Lynch
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Nearly three weeks ago I had the pleasure of heading up to David Bowden’s property in Queensland. Certain aspects of my discussions with him at that time keep resonating in my mind when I consider the key starting points of trading.
Read more |
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SPI – Hold Your Breath
Noel Campbell
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I have had some great feedback this week about last week’s article on the SPI200, outlining the potential bullish indications based upon Pressure Points. Now our Trading Tutors Newsletter hits your ‘Inbox’ early each week and of course the SPI200 spent the first three days of the week heading down!
Read more |
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Banking on St George!
Aaron Lynch
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Focussing on the recent movement in St George Bank SGB, an ABC trade stands out as one to watch. SGB one of our major banks has been trending quite strongly since early February of this year.
Read more |
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Protecting Stock Positions from Price Gaps
Jeff Neal
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Stock traders are constantly confronted with a sharp and large move against their directional bias. Many times these moves come in the form of gaps.
Read more |
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Pulling out all the Stops
Noel Campbell
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Last week I left off with the SPI200 poised to move strongly to the upside on the latest ABC trade. The market hadn’t yet reached the 50% Milestone for the trade, the most critical level for a Starter Pack trade.
Read more |
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AMP - Where to Place your Faith?
Aaron Lynch
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A question that I am often asked when providing traders with the education they need to succeed is how much importance to place on news and fundamental indicators. Well this week’s announcement from AMP should speak volumes on how most retail traders should be performing their analysis.
Read more |
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Calling The Best Bull Spread?
Jordan Craw
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Last week I showed you how to construct a spread manually using price and time projections. This week we will cover another approach.
Read more |
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Ready, Set, Nearly Ready To Go
Aaron Lynch
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Over the last 12 months I have focussed many articles on the benefits of the ABC Trading Plan. These examples have highlighted the profit that is achievable when your efforts are focused with a plan and using great tools like swing charts and the Starter Pack Software.
Read more |
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ABC Trading And Woolworths
Aaron Lynch
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Looking at the daily bar chart on Woolworths (WOW) the first thing that traders new to ABC principles will notice, is a signal to enter short on March 31. Clicking the Hilites button in the Starter Pack software is the easiest way to flag any potential trades.
Read more |
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Credit Card Debt – Time to Collect???
Jordan Craw
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After the news recently that Australian credit card debt is at an all time high, I want to take time out of my usual â€Options Corner’ articles to highlight a point of interest on a stock that is unfortunately not currently optionable.
Read more |
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Alumina (AWC) In Review
Aaron Lynch
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Many traders when they first hit the market are looking for a share to trade that is priced within their budget. Many of the most well known shares that are mentioned in the media can sometimes be out of reach.
Read more |
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The Power of Ranges - ADJ
Noel Campbell
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Over the past week I have been doing some analysis on the various sectors of the ASX200. Sector Analysis can prove to be extremely valuable for a number of reasons. Sector Analysis breaks the overall market down into smaller, related groups, allowing you to look at what industries are leading the main trend of the ASX200.
Read more |
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The 200% Double Bottom Rule in Action
Noel Campbell
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In last week’s article I discussed the power of Pressure Points with an example on the ADJ Sector Index chart. Back in Trading Tutors Issue #46 I outlined how Pressure Points from a recent Double Bottom in the SPI200 were proving extremely influential.
Read more |
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Australian Dollar Follow Up
Aaron Lynch
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In last weeks Trading Tutors article I introduced the currency debate as a way of profiting in uncertain markets. Finishing the analysis on the Australian dollar last week I noted an area in price that may prove to be a pivotal point, the 71.61 price pressure point was going to be either support or resistance.
Read more |
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Stay On Your Toes
Noel Campbell
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In last week’s Trading Tutors article I highlighted the fact that the SPI200 had managed to run down an equal range to the last significant pullback seen in this current bull cycle. Coming off the top of 3486, the SPI200 had run down 154 points to the 3332 low.
Read more |
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BHP – An ABC Trade Setup
Aaron Lynch
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At the end of the Trading week most want to step back and take stock of what has occurred in the week that was. It is also a good time to analyse any positions that you are currently in and ensure that they are running to your plan.
Read more |
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Trading a Classic Gann Set-Up – Sugar
Noel Campbell
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Some readers may recall my recent interest in the sugar market and the potential for a large bull move in that contract during 2004. The sugar market rallied quite strongly off a low in February 2004 and topped on March 24.
Read more |
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NAB – A Price Forecast
Noel Campbell
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Aaron Lynch and I have just finished the final Interactive Trading Workshop for this round, in Brisbane. These workshops proved a tremendous success with our traders. During the Brisbane workshop as a group we came across a potentially, highly profitable set-up on the monthly chart of NAB.
Read more |
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Running with the Bulls
Noel Campbell
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As I’ve mentioned in some recent articles, we are focussing more on delivering current trades at all of our seminars and workshops.
Read more |
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NAB – Ready for Take-Off?
Noel Campbell
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Back in Trading Tutors Issue #61 I wrote about the highly thought provoking position of NAB and the price pressure point cluster we identified at the Brisbane Interactive Trading Workshop.
Read more |
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Ready For A Gold Rush?
Noel Campbell
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While equities offer traders and investors comfort in terms of sticking to what they know, they lack the kind of leverage that gets me excited.
Read more |
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Aussie Dollar In Focus
Noel Campbell
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Learning how to put a Price Forecast together can seem a complicated process. However the best idea is not to try and spend your early days making forward projections on where the market will be in the future.
Read more |
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Knowing When To Stand Your Ground
Noel Campbell
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One of the toughest challenges for a new trader is to be able to walk away from a losing trade without getting rattled. I’m sure a number of readers can relate to what I’m talking about.
Read more |
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Amazon – It’s A Jungle Out There!
Aaron Lynch
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After a few weeks away from the market on my recent vacation, the level of enthusiasm for the markets is at an all time high. Getting away for a small period of time can provide some new perspective especially if you had reached the stage you can’t see the woods from the trees.
Read more |
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Consolidating Double Tops
Marshal De Saxe
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A consolidation is the result of increased market confidence about the value of a stock. Market volatility is the best way to determine the level of market confidence in a stock. Stocks that trade with a great deal of volatility do so because the market is unsure about the value of the company.
Read more |
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Gann Angles & Trend Lines
Aaron Lynch
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When first presented with Technical analysis most traders come across the concept of a trend line. A trendline is a straight line that connects two or more price points and then extends into the future to act as a line of support or resistance.
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Patience and Persistence are Virtues
Noel Campbell
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All right, enough about the Sugar market! Well maybe not. A number of weeks back in the Trading Tutors Newsletter I wrote about a potential long trade on the weekly chart for the Sugar Contract.
Read more |
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Seeing the Writing on the Wall
Noel Campbell
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There are times when avoiding a loss can feel just as good as taking a profit. Now that might be somewhat of a stretch, but I’m sure some readers out there know just what I mean.
Read more |
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WMR – Expecting Support
Aaron Lynch
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Establishing price support and resistance gives confidence for all styles of trading. Advocates of ABC trading, Elliott Waves or any other style, will enjoy greater success in their trades when support and resistance can be easily identified.
Read more |
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Watching For A Break-Out
Noel Campbell
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A few weeks back I wrote about the 180-degree pressure date on the chart of Sugar. I actually entered the market the day after the low and sat tight with stops under the 180-degree low.
Read more |
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Ceilings and Ladders
Jordan Craw
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No I’m not talking about a new twist on the old board game. Instead some popular applications of the trusty Bollinger Band.
Read more |
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Constructing a Price Forecast on the Nikkei
Noel Campbell
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Having just finished a seminar in Singapore, I have been inspired this week to write about some analysis put together when speaking with one of our enthusiastic new Singaporean clients.
Read more |
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WBC – Daily, Weekly & Sector Analysis
Aaron Lynch
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Scanning the market as I did after Tuesday’s market action, you may too have found WBC was a potential long trade for September 29th.
Read more |
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WMR – Keeping On A Good Thing
Aaron Lynch
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WMR has been a good news story with solid moves from September this year. You may recall in the Trading Tutors edition #74 that I noted strong support at $4.80 and the potential for a price breakout on the upside.
Read more |
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Fibonacci On The ASX
Jordan Craw
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To the initiated you may be able to pass off Leonardo Pisano Fibonacci as a 15th century painter or sculptor.
Read more |
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The SPI - The Power Of The First Range Out
Aaron Lynch
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How far can it go is the catch cry at the moment! When will we see the SPI retrace?
Read more |
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Accumulating Profits
Jordan Craw
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â€Accumulation’ and â€Distribution’ are terms I am sure most of us are comfortable with on an everyday level.
Read more |
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Bollinger Bands Revisited
Jordan Craw
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From time to time it is interesting to look back on previous articles and topics covered, to review the events that have taken place since, especially when comments on future market movements have been made.
Read more |
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Dow Jones Contract in Review
Noel Campbell
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Last week I wrote about some of the finer details of the Dow Jones $10 multiplier contract, traded at the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) .
Read more |
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US Dollar – A Short Trade
Aaron Lynch
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Reading the news and reports on the US economy, and in particular the US dollar, it''s hard to find a case to be a bull.
Read more |
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The Direction of DMI
Jordan Craw
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Looking through books on technical analysis or Indicator lists in software, it is easy to get lost in the sea of analysis tools available.
Read more |
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Nothing New Under the SUN
Noel Campbell
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There is no doubt over just how powerful this latest run up on the DOW has turned out to be, session after session of higher highs and lows.
Read more |
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ANZ – No Bank is an Island
Noel Campbell
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The market action here in Australia continued to dazzle, record closes after record closes.
Read more |
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Stop Loss Strategies Continued…
Aaron Lynch
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Picking up from last week, we looked at the background information that could affect the efficiency of a stop loss in the market.
Read more |
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Profiting on the VIX & Dow Jones Inverse Relationship
Marshal de Saxe
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Today, I want to show you how to use a very useful and accurate indicator to find very profitable trades, by using the S&P 100 Volatility Index or better known as the VIX and the Dow Jones Index, to indicate possible market reversal points.
Read more |
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History Repeating In Numbers?
Noel Campbell
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W.D. Gann in his teachings tells us that the market will give us all the information we need to know, to make big profits in trading.
Read more |
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Today’s Elliott
Jordan Craw
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Many of the complex techniques, used in Today’s market analysis, have been practiced since the early part of last century and beyond - well before the advent of computers and trading software.
Read more |
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The Aussie Dollar in Focus
Noel Campbell
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Our dollar has experienced a fantastic run up over the past few months. Regular Trading Tutor Newsletter readers would recall that I wrote an article calling the Aussie dollar up when it was trading around 0.6800, since that time the currency has risen over 0.1000, which on the future markets represent 1000 points.
Read more |
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The Safest Place to Sell
Noel Campbell
|
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Here I am preparing the latest article and all that has basically happened between now and last time is the SPI200 has continued up! Times like now, when the market is defying normal logic can be dangerous for even experienced traders.
Read more |
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Leverage Muscle
Noel Campbell
|
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You might be learning to trade with a plan (or so you should be) and looking forward to the day you can call yourself a trader.
Read more |
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Where to for the Aussie Dollar?
Noel Campbell
|
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Firstly I''d like to say Happy New Year to all our readers. Before the holidays I wrote about the resistance the Aussie Dollar contract had reached using the big picture Double Top and a smaller perspective Double Bottom.
Read more |
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Multiple ABC Trades In The Same Market
Aaron Lynch
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When novice traders begin their initial push into the markets a common question can arise, “will I get enough signals to enter trades?”
Read more |
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EBAY - The Long & Short Of It
Aaron Lynch
|
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Last year EBAY listed on the NASDAQ and in the US, was a darling of the markets.
Read more |
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The Oil Market – The Power Of Ranges
Aaron Lynch
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It is early 2005 and it hasn’t taken too long for me to call up an article on how well milestone theory and ranges work in the Light Crude Oil market.
Read more |
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Profiting From 60% Losing Trades?
Jordan Craw
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There are various statistical break downs about the different components of trading and trading plans/systems.
Read more |
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American Express – An ABC Trade & Beyond
Aaron Lynch
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The Trading Tutors newsletter is an opportunity to talk about current trades as they form in the market.
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The Green Back, Back To Resistance?
Jordan Craw
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Sometimes one of the most rewarding parts of this whole business is finding things when you are not necessarily looking for them.
Read more |
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Pfizer - Could Be Just The Medicine
Noel Campbell
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Once again this week I''m going to divert my attention from futures across to one of the stocks that make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Pfizer (PFE).
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High Grade Copper... An Update
Aaron Lynch
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Casting your minds back to the first article this year in Trading Tutors Issue #90 14 Jan 2005 I wrote about the movement of the high grade copper market HG-SPOTV.
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Stop Smarts
Noel Campbell
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As much as possible in my articles I like to cover some analysis and detail from my recent trading.
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There Is Money To Be Made Using Stops!
Aaron Lynch
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Using risk management tools in the form of a stop loss order are fundamental skills that all successful traders will apply, they come in various forms and not only is it important to use them it''s critical that you use them well.
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The Resurrection of the Beast
Noel Campbell
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In an article a few weeks back I related the SPI200 to being one of those monsters in a good horror movie.
Read more |
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The Triple Top Reversal
Marshal de Saxe
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This week I will be building our technical analysis skills further by looking at triple top reversals.
Read more |
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NCM - Entering Outside Limits
Aaron Lynch
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Following on from the recent Trading Tactics workshop in Sydney we looked at NCM as a case study of the ABC trading methodology.
Read more |
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Losing Your Balance Can Lead To A Fall
Noel Campbell
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How exciting are the markets at the moment? Nobody could deny the fact that volatility in the general market and individual stocks is leading to some great profit opportunities and you don''t even need to be in the market for the long term.
Read more |
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Everyone Loves A Comeback Story
Jordan Craw
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Come back stories are popular in any walk of life, whether it be on the sporting field, personal health or business.
Read more |
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BHP - It’s All In The Numbers
Aaron Lynch
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This week''s Trading Tutors article is penned from my desk a little further afield than usual, in Singapore.
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The S&P 500 – The Invisible Index
Aaron Lynch
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Getting abroad has a wonderful way of adjusting your perception across many facets of life.
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A Fine Set of Circumstances
Noel Campbell
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Last week I wrote about an ABC trading set-up that I was looking at on Soybean Oil.
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The Good Oil – A Three Day Perspective
Aaron Lynch
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One of the strongest benefits of a swing chart is that it filters noise to make an informed decision.
Read more |
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What is and how to use Fibonacci Retracements
Marshal de Saxe
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Today’s traders sometimes ignore or overlook Fibonacci retracements.
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Bollinger Tells the Story
Jordan Craw
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Bollinger Bands are an indicator that I have discussed in previous articles in Trading Tutors, such as Trading Tutors Issue #76: 24 Sept 2004.
Read more |
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James Hardie – A Classic Gann Set-Up?
Noel Campbell
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The Australian market has hit the skids over the past few weeks since the March 21 top. Finding a stock that can buck the current trend of the overall market becomes a more challenging search.
Read more |
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AMP - A Story In Sections
Aaron Lynch
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The dust has settled and the bad jokes have started to fade away when talking about AMP.
Read more |
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Waving The Theory
Jordan Craw
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As many will know, Elliott Wave Theory was developed by R. N. Elliott in the earlier part of last century.
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AMP – Building on Sections
Aaron Lynch
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The Trading Tutors articles are designed to be short and sweet, though on more than one occasion you get a set up in the market that tells a much larger story.
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Perspectives Of A Trader
John Jeffery
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Not every ABC trade is likely to solicit a positive return from the market.
Read more |
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NAB – About To Get The Sack?
Noel Campbell
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This week I''ve come across some very interesting analysis on NAB and the potential for another great set-up.
Read more |
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A Round Peg in a Round Hole
John Jeffery
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The right tools for the right jobs. Ask a builder, a plumber or an electrician - ask any skilled tradesman and you will get the same response.
Read more |
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Trading Turns – Continuous Charts
Aaron Lynch
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A large part of trading any successful forecast or projection is looking for a signal top or bottom.
Read more |
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The Trend… Reversal Is Your friend
John Jeffery
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All traders know that trading with the trend is the best way to make money.
Read more |
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The Lucky Country
Aaron Lynch
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In all aspects of our lives sometimes it pays to step back and look at our surroundings.
Read more |
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Elliott on the SPI
Jordan Craw
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The concept of symmetry in market movements is something that many different forms of technical analysis agree on.
Read more |
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Around The Grounds
Aaron Lynch
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For those who may listen to a number of sporting shows each week, especially on radio, there is often a cross to all major events to get the latest information.
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How To Pick A â€Bottom’
Marshal de Saxe
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I''m not talking about some strange contest you would find on a game show, I''m talking about finding a low or turnaround point in a stock.
Read more |
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Golden Fortunes!
Aaron Lynch
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When I see people starting out trading most people have a desire to trade one of the big stocks, like a BHP or CBA.
Read more |
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A Logical Pause In The Oil Rally
Aaron Lynch
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Once again oil prices have taken centre stage on most investor''s lips.
Read more |
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Moving Average Bands
John Jeffery
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The Swing Expert Software and Ultimate Gann Software have a much broader range of traditional technical analysis tools than the more basic ABC Trader.
Read more |
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The Sugar Rush Has Begun?
Noel Campbell
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At every seminar I travel to these days, if the topic of Sugar is raised, somebody always remembers the articles where I outlined the upcoming completion of some key, major time cycles.
Read more |
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BHP – The Bigger Picture
Aaron Lynch
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Well, this month we have seen the markets provide numerous challenges tempered with numerous opportunities.
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Bollinger Bands
John Jeffery
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This week I would like to continue our little journey into other types of traditional technical analysis tools and how they can be used in conjunction with the tested Safety in the Market trading plan.
Read more |
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James Hardie Industries - Dizzy Heights
Aaron Lynch
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Well, most would have seen the most recent bullish rise on James Hardie JHX.
Read more |
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When A Plan Comes Together
John Jeffery
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In the last two Trading Tactics seminars in Canberra and Melbourne, as well as this week’s in Perth, I highlighted a sequence of events which lead to several extremely profitable trades.
Read more |
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Gold: The Impending Boom?
Aaron Lynch
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Not many traders would have missed the news regarding gold this week when in one session the gold price rocketed by around $8.00 to $453.00 per ounce.
Read more |
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Trendy Lines
John Jeffery
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The application of straight lines and geometric formations to charts is an extensive pursuit for the technical trader and the trend line remains the most popular and most readily recognizable tool in the technical analyst''s tool box.
Read more |
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Gauging Momentum
Jordan Craw
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In recent articles I have referred to momentum indictors like the Oscillator. This week I want to add a little more detail to measuring momentum.
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Trading By Proxy
John Jeffery
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Recently a client expressed to me a certain level of concern when opening up and trading a futures account.
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Making Good on Telstra
Darryl Nagel
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Telstra has certainly been a challenge for investors. It also has provided wonderful opportunities for Safety in the Market traders.
Read more |
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At Home on the Range
John Jeffery
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ABC trading involves a very simple premise: that history repeats.
Read more |
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The Good, the NAB and the Ugly
Noel Campbell
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Over the past couple of years NAB has for some, been the good and others the ugly!
Read more |
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Opportunity Knocking on the Windows?
John Jeffery
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One of the great benefits of being a full time trader is that you have plenty of time to look at charts which might not have any real bearing on your current positions.
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The Impact of Dividends on Your Trading
Darryl Nagel
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Prior to entering into a trade, whether a long or a short trade, it is prudent to take into account when shares go ex-dividend.
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More Than One Way To Skin A CAT
Noel Campbell
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As I have mentioned a few times over the past weeks, trading U.S. stocks using CFDs with my Aussie broker has opened up some amazing opportunities.
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BSL – Double Tops and Beyond
Aaron Lynch
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After a recent journey overseas I am welcomed back to the Australian market with the somewhat predictable sell off in September and October in our local market.
Read more |
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Bottom of the SPI in Sight?
John Jeffery
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The recent run down on the Share Price Index seems to have been widely expected by the financial community as a whole and is deemed as a necessary correction before the next leg-up in the market.
Read more |
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Oil - An Update
Aaron Lynch
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The oil topic has now had time to settle into people’s conscious minds. Most people would be happy for petrol prices to get back down to $1.00 - how our expectations have changed.
Read more |
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Filling in the Blanks
John Jeffery
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I had my first ever filling on Saturday. At nearly thirty years old, for a Brit at least, this is quite an achievement.
Read more |
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Fundamentals – Reflected In The Chart
Mario La Marra
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Being a technical trader means not relying on fundamentals. In all honesty, who has the time or the inclination to peruse through reams and reams of company reports in order to find a share to trade?
Read more |
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Testing Our Limits
Jordan Craw
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It seems that as humans we tend to do the right thing in most circumstances the majority of the time once we know the rules.
Read more |
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Hello, Hello is Anybody There???
Neil Gladwin
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In my recent travels a hot topic of conversation is Telstra.
Read more |
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Trend Line Analysis
Mario La Marra
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Trend lines are a simple and extremely effective tool used in technical analysis for confirmation of trend and can act as a signal for a trend reversal.
Read more |
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Wave 4 Buy or ABC Long?
Jordan Craw
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No doubt many have heard of the connections between Elliott Wave and Gann Theory.
Read more |
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Apples to Oranges
Neil Gladwin
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Technical Indicators are great, aren’t they?
Read more |
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Filtering Wave 5 Sells
Jordan Craw
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Trading with the trend is a concept often discussed and used in trading circles and for good reason
Read more |
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The Consumer Discretionary Index
David Dixon
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As a technical trader, I primarily use charts to analyse and forecast the markets.
Read more |
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A Good Time To Be A Trader?
Aaron Lynch
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For most 2006 has just started and they are now looking for what this year may bring financially.
Read more |
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Oscillator
Neil Gladwin
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Often I bump into people who have just started to actively trade and naturally they have a multitude of questions.
Read more |
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How Do Futures Compare With CFDs?
Darryl Nagel
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Futures and CFDs are two leveraged securities that are commonly mentioned in this Newsletter.
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Elliott, Presidents, Bulls & Bears
Jordan Craw
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There are various theories on market cycles and timing that are applied by a variety of traders.
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Smarter Sectors
David Dixon
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my previous article (see Trading Tutors Issue #142), I introduced the idea of comparing a stock chart to its sector as this can be a very useful method for finding directional trades.
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Financial-X-Property Trusts
David Dixon
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As an active trader, it is important for me to be constantly in touch with both the overall sentiment of the market and how the major sectors within it are performing.
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Gartley Pattern
Neil Gladwin
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This week I thought we would take a look at an indicator that you don’t hear about too often - the Gartley Pattern, that was developed by Harold M Gartley in 1935.
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Trading Gaps – CFDs To The Rescue With Guaranteed Stops
Darryl Nagel
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A trading gap occurs when a stock opens higher or lower than the previous close.
Read more |
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In The Swing of Things
Jordan Craw
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In some of my recent articles we have looked at the additional set-up criteria or filters that can be applied to Wave 4 Buy trades.
Read more |
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Forecasting With The Range Projector
Jordan Craw
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While the Range Projector in itself is non-directional, it can be used as a forecasting tool based on a directional outlook.
Read more |
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200 Day Moving Average
Neil Gladwin
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This week I thought I might take time out to look at a fairly simple indicator that many Trading Tutors readers would be aware of - the 200 Day Simple Moving Average (200 MA).
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Sector CFDs – A Unique Way Of Trading
Darryl Nagel
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Shares on the ASX are divided into categories called Sectors, which are based on the international GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard) categories. Certain CFD providers permit Sector CFDs to be traded. This allows for a unique way of trading an overall sector in the market rather than the individual stocks that make up that sector.
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Market Health Check
Neil Gladwin
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Three weeks ago in Trading Tutors Newsletter Edition #151 I discussed how the 200 Day Moving Average can be used to identify major support and resistance prices.
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Gold Record Prices
Mario La Marra
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Is it no surprise to see some pullback and profit-taking after gold prices hit $600 an ounce on Thursday 6th April 2006?
Read more |
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Details Of A Financial Sector CFD Trade
Darryl Nagel
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The Financial Services Sector (XFJ) is a recent example of a bullish trend in an ASX sector. This week I will detail a recent trade from the financial sector and explain how CFDs could have been traded to harness a profit.
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Trade In Review – SPX
Jordan Craw
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This week I want to review a trade on the SPX (S&P 500) that has some properties common to many strong Elliott Wave 4 Buy trades.
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SPI-200 Projections
Jordan Craw
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It looks like yet more blue sky in the near-term for the Aussie Market!
Read more |
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Using Divergence
Jordan Craw
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Divergence is something that those trading Wave 5 Buys and Sells, not to mention other systems, will be more than familiar with. In the context of trading, divergence is defined as a situation where the price of an instrument and an indicator move in opposite directions.
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Commodity CFDs
John Jeffery
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A SITM student knows exactly when to get into a trade and when to get out. Depending on the varying level of study and education, there might be some differences between the appropriate entry and exit signals utilised by the student, but the overall opinions are likely to be the same across the board.
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Materials Sector – Buying on Retracements
Jordan Craw
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The last two weeks on our Australian Financial Markets have been very interesting for both long and short traders. For the people who have been holding long positions, it''s been the perfect opportunity to do some selling and take some well earned profits. For short traders there have been a number of fantastic short setups against the overall upward trend that have been highly profitable.
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Resistance Becomes Support
Jordan Craw
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The phrase “resistance becomes support” has been taught, â€traded’ and no doubt even argued over, by many a trader over the years. Put as simply as the rule itself, markets will often find support at levels they once struggled to overcome.
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The Accumulation/Distribution Line
Neil Gladwin
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This week I am continuing on through the selection of technical indicators we have at our fingertips and taking a close look at the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) Line.
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Chaikin’s Money Flow
Neil Gladwin
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In last week''s Trading Tutors Newsletter, we discussed the Accumulation/Distribution Line developed by Marc Chaikin. I thought it would be fitting this week to look at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator which uses the Accumulation/Distribution Line in its calculation.
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All or Nothing?
John Jeffery
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You don’t have to only be a Gann technician or an Elliott technician or even pigeon hole yourself as a technical or fundamental analyst. Why not take the best parts of both? The plain answer to this conundrum is â€time’.
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Look Out Orica – It’s 200%
Noel Campbell
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Welcome to this edition of the Safety in the Market Monthly Newsletter. This month I wanted to share with our traders some of the work we have been doing at our recent Interactive Trading Workshops (ITWs) on the stock Orica (ORI).
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Education, Education, Education
Neil Gladwin
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This week I thought I would take a different approach and discuss some important technical analysis issues.
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Euro Trip
Jordan Craw
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Since the Euro Currency futures contract started trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in 1998, it has been as low as USD 0.8245 cents and as high as USD 1.3687. The question is, where to next for the Euro?
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"Alas poor stock, I knew his ratio"
John Jeffery
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In my last article, I began preparing you all for a look into ValueGain and fundamental analysis (I also wished luck to the Socceroos and England, but we need not mention that!!).
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Which Wave?
Neil Gladwin
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I wish I had a dollar for every time I have had someone come up to me and argue about Elliott Wave counts. In fact, I think if I was to ask for a dollar each time, I might just be able to rely on that as my sole income!
Read more |
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An Angle On Retracements
Jordan Craw
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There are many technical trading systems designed around the idea of trading markets out of retracements against the predominant trend.
Read more |
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Which Wave? - Part 2
Neil Gladwin
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In last week’s Trading Tutors Newsletter # 165 we looked at Apple - AAPL and how the Elliott Wave counts were recalculating.
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Oil – On With the Show
Aaron Lynch
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Can oil prices continue to go higher? The simple answer is yes, the â€where to’ and â€how long’ are ones that require a little more work.
Read more |
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In The Near Term
Jordan Craw
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We often hear of and see the concept of wheels within wheels in many walks of life. What happens on a long-term scale will often happen on a short-term scale and vice versa.
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Which Wave? - Part 3
Neil Gladwin
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So which is the best wave to trade? As we continue looking at our case study on AAPL, you might want to review Trading Tutors Newsletters #165 & #166.
Read more |
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Hung Out to Dry
John Jeffery
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The Price Earnings Ratio is a good way of getting some quick and easy fundamental information regarding the market’s expectations of a share’s value
Read more |
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Ceilings and Ladders
Jordan Craw
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No, I’m not talking about a new twist on the old board game. Instead some popular applications of the trusty Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Band is a widely known and used indicator which is a testament to its inventor, John Bollinger.
Read more |
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News Events Drive Price
Oscar Lee
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In the stock market, it is news events that drive price. For the options trader, news events can make or break positions.
Read more |
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Sale away, sale away, sale away
John Jeffery
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Happy with the work we have covered on P/E ratios and the PEG ratio, it’s time to look at other variables that we can glean from financial statements.
Read more |
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Back Test vs. Simulation? Part 1
Neil Gladwin
|
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Inspired by a post in a discussion forum this week, I thought I would cover a few back testing methods. I want to say right up front that there are no wrongs or rights when it comes to back testing.
Read more |
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Moving Averages -a more than average tool
Darryl Nagel
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I use moving averages to confirm the trend shown by ABC longs and ABC shorts. A moving average (MA) is a widely used tool by technical analysts.
Read more |
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Trend Divergence
Jordan Craw
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|
Trading against the trend is always something that can be fraught with danger. As the old saying goes, “The trend is your friend.” However, good profits can lie in identifying the end of major moves as well.
Read more |
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Back Test vs. Simulation? Part 2
Neil Gladwin
|
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In my last article, I took a look at using the System Builder in ProfitSource to back test a trading system.
Read more |
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Financial Sector Pt 2
David Dixon
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In my last article in Trading Tutors Issue 172 , I was looking at the Financial Sector (XFJ) and gave my view on where I thought the sector was heading.
Read more |
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Trend Lines Revisited
Mario La Marra
|
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In the Safety in the Market Monthly Update for December 2005, I wrote an article entitled Trend Line Analysis.
Read more |
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Better Opportunities
David Dixon
|
|
A lot of students/clients ask me how they can find better ways to look for opportunities in our current market. As a Trading Tutor it’s sometimes difficult to get the student to look at a bigger picture to form an opinion.
Read more |
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Pivot With It
Jordan Craw
|
|
Pivot points are an indicator often used by floor traders or day traders as a very quick and easy way to calculate resistance and support levels. As with many things in life, its funny how well many basic approaches work.
Read more |
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Invest by the Book
John Jeffery
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|
Price to Book (P/B) value is the ratio of a company’s share price over its book value of equity. The share price is reported every minute of every trading day by the exchange, and we are all more than familiar with that!
Read more |
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MACD...Mac Daddy of Indicators?
Neil Gladwin
|
|
This week we are going to take a look at a well known indicator and certainly one of the most commonly used - the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
Read more |
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Good Vibrations
John Jeffery
|
|
I am going to stray from the recent fundamental path to have a quick look at the local market’s performance over the last few weeks and note an important cycle which has been occurring.
Read more |
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RSI Support
Jordan Craw
|
|
Welles Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular indicators in technical analysis and has been for quite a number of years.
Read more |
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Back to Basics
John Jeffery
|
|
Even as an experienced trader I have never been so supercilious to think that I could not learn from other professionals, colleagues and often, clients.
Read more |
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New Trailing Stops – Part 1
Neil Gladwin
|
|
I have to say I love getting an email from HUBB letting me know there is a new software upgrade available for my ProfitSource!
Read more |
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Confirming Breakouts With On Balance Volume
Jordan Craw
|
|
Trading breakouts is a popular technical trading method applied in a variety of styles. Essentially breakouts form after a period of retracement and/or consolidation on the market in question.
Read more |
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Consumer Discretionary
David Dixon
|
|
At the moment when I look at the Consumer Discretionary sector, everything seems great and not a cloud in sight.
Read more |
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Extra, Extra, Read all about it!
John Jeffery
|
|
I often get asked at seminars, "Why choose this ABC trade over this one?"
Read more |
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Telecommunications Services Sector
David Dixon
|
|
There’s been a lot of talk lately about the Telstra T3 offering and whether or not to take up the opportunity to buy the new round of shares.
Read more |
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Materials Sector
David Dixon
|
|
Since the start of the 2003 Bull Run, the Materials Sector (XMJ) has been a favourite of both the retail investor and the financial institutions. And why not, this bullish run has been on the back of soaring demand for resource-based stocks such as BHP, RIO etc.
Read more |
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"3" - That’s (part of) the Magic Number
John Jeffery
|
|
No, this has nothing to do with T3, and no, it has nothing to do with 3G technology. I’m talking about a magic number for the SPI. The number is 341.
Read more |
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Balanced Market Outlook
Jordan Craw
|
|
A diversified approach is important in any investment strategy. There are varying levels of diversity from Macro to Micro levels.
Read more |
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The â€What If’ Indicator!
Neil Gladwin
|
|
I cannot believe it is already December and Christmas is just around the corner! What an amazing year it’s been with Gold hitting prices not seen for almost 26 years.
Read more |
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Playing FTSE at work
John Jeffery
|
|
The leading stock index in the UK is the Financial Times Stock Exchange Index of 100 shares, more commonly known as the FTSE 100.
Read more |
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Extraordinarily Ordinary
Noel Campbell
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When David Bowden talks about what made him so successful with trading and deciphering W.D. Gann he uses a quote I love taken from the Ultimate Gann Course lessons, “I don’t think I have done extraordinary things with my trading and study.
Read more |
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Is the ASX 20 a Laggard?
Jordan Craw
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The recent correction on the Australian Market in October/November has once again highlighted a fact that often occurs in many stock markets around the world: during retracements and corrections, the biggest “Blue Chip” stocks often get hit the hardest.
Read more |
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Consumer Discretionary
David Dixon
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As our year draws to an end, most will look back and reflect as to what sort of trades have been on offer, and were those opportunities acted upon.
Read more |
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Mirror, Signal, Manoeuvre.
John Jeffery
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A mantra used to impress good habits on novice drivers can be applied (with a little imagination) to the process of learning to trade.
Read more |
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Where To From Here?
Neil Gladwin
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I don’t know about everyone else but personally I take a break from trading over the festive season.
Read more |
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Keeping Up With the Joneses
David Dixon
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As this is my first article for 2007, I would like to wish all our readers a happy and prosperous New Year. Hopefully 2006 was kind to you with profitable trades and an increase in your trading accounts.
Read more |
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Good as Gold!
Neil Gladwin
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There is no doubt about Gold and its relationship with the 200 Day Moving Average. Time and time again we have seen clear support as well as resistance around that mark.
Read more |
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Embrace your losses
Darryl Nagel
|
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At the beginning of each calendar year I examine my trading challenges by looking back over the past year.
Read more |
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To Dow Or Not To Dow
David Dixon
|
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In past articles, you would have noticed that I have focussed a lot on sector analysis.
Read more |
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SPI’ing On Elliott
Jordan Craw
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Most of us who have researched or applied Elliott Wave Theory will be familiar with the concept of â€Waves within Waves’ or â€Cycles within Cycles’.
Read more |
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Elliott Supporting Gann & Fibonacci
Jordan Craw
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Two names synonymous with Technical Analysis are Gann and Elliott, each having their die-hard followers.
Read more |
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Bollinger Confirmations
Jordan Craw
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Seeing John Bollinger speak at last year’s Oasis conference in Santa Clara was a great experience personally, having used his indicator as one of my favourite technical tools.
Read more |
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Oscillator Divergence
Neil Gladwin
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The events of 27 Feb gave us a wake up call and also an answer to a recently asked question.
Read more |
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Directional Movement Index (DMI)
Neil Gladwin
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The Directional Movement Index (DMI) indicator is one of the more popular indicators used by technical traders.
Read more |
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Where Next For The Aussie Battler?
Neil Gladwin
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After all the excitement in the markets over the last few weeks, with the ASX200 losing a hefty 6% and the Australian All Ordinaries doing much the same, I am delighted to see the markets now showing some resistance and holding steady.
Read more |
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In The Swing Of Things
Jordan Craw
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Many regular readers will recall the emphasis I place on confirming that Wave 4 has run its course when trading Wave 4 Buys and Sells.
Read more |
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Low Down Election Cycle
Jordan Craw
|
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Now that the dust has settled somewhat from the recent retracement on global markets it seems to be common opinion that there was no real fundamental reason for the Western markets to follow Shanghai’s falls, except for the fact that a retracement was due.
Read more |
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The Perfect Trade Set-up!
Neil Gladwin
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Does it exist? If you are a technical trader/investor and concentrate on the charting aspects of a stock then you may consider that a falling share price backed up by an increase in volume along with a five day simple moving average crossing over a longer term 21 day moving average denotes a great time to sell.
Read more |
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Finding Balance with Volume
Jordan Craw
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Volume is one of the simplest and most widely used technical indicators in the trading world.
Read more |
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Are You Feeling Greedy?
Tom Scollon
|
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Well maybe you are just feeling a tad greedy. But will you feel a little greedier in the coming weeks?
Read more |
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Is The Millionaire Factory Increasing Production?
Noel Campbell
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Welcome to all Safety in the Market traders at all levels to this month''s dedicated Safety in the Market Monthly Newsletter.
Read more |
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CAT and mouse
Neil Gladwin
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Towards the end of March I was looking through DOW stocks seeking an opportunity when I came across Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT).
Read more |
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Bull on the run
Julia Lee
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With the DOW recording its fifth record high and close in six sessions, the US stock market looks like it’s steaming along.
Read more |
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Telstra... who answered the call?
Neil Gladwin
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In an article towards the end of 2005 in Trading Tutors Newsletter # 137 we took a look at Telstra (ASX: TLS) and at the time things were not looking too promising for Australia’s favourite telecommunications company.
Read more |
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The Condor Has Landed
Oscar lee
|
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I recently analysed two trades in this column and thought it was time for some â€post’ review.
Read more |
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Utilities Sector - Double Topping
David Dixon
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First of all, thank you to all the readers that attended Tradefest 2007.
Read more |
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Power Questions
Sinan Koray
|
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Our life experience is based on what we focus on. Some of us are optimists, others are pessimists and some are unable to make up their mind.
Read more |
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Warranted Value
John Jeffery
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The notion of â€value’ in trading is no different than in everyday life. Whether it’s buy-one-get-one-free for a piece of fruit or 50-percent off that pair of shoes, we all love a bargain.
Read more |
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Bulls in control
Julia Lee
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The DOW has now risen 30 out of 35 days. This is a run not seen in over half a century! Inflation data on Tuesday was softer than expected with chances of an interest rate rise declining, adding support to the stock market.
Read more |
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Mum, is this Vertigo?
Tom Scollon
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As they say, blind Freddie can see it. Take a look at the steepness of lines A, B, C and D. Is it just me? Are the lines just getting progressively steeper? Any steeper and we will be abseiling vertically!
Read more |
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Buy and Hold
Jordan Craw
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At the recent TradeFest 2007 event, we looked at a simple approach for a buy and hold investor who wants to consistently purchase stock as part of a greater financial plan.
Read more |
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Greenspan speaks
Julia Lee
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The DOW pushed through 13,600 for the first time this week only to be drenched in cold water after Alan Greenspan’s comments.
Read more |
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Beat The Bowser
Tom Scollon
|
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If you hadn't noticed petrol prices are on the march again and if you haven't felt the pinch yet you will when petrol heads for $1.50/1.60/litre.
Read more |
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Crawling, Walking and Running
Sinan Koray
|
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Cheetahs are the fastest land animal. They can run up to 100 kilometers per hour in short bursts when they are hunting.
Read more |
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Would You Like an A, B, H or an S?
Tom Scollon
|
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Well what is he on about now? That very, very hot China market! There are few markets that are watched so intently as Shanghai's index.
Read more |
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ANZ – An Island Paradise (or Nightmare)
Noel Campbell
|
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The stock market as a whole has been enjoying some big moves to the upside and the big banks have certainly been involved.
Read more |
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Guts for Gartley
John Jeffery
|
|
Following a recent round of very popular CFD workshops I conducted it became evident that there is a need for a specific workshop on technically based trading strategies that include a seasoning of fundamentals.
Read more |
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Interest Rate Jitters
Julia Lee
|
|
It was a volatile week for US stocks with concerns over interest rates driving much of the moves. US treasury yields rose past 5% to the highest level in five years.
Read more |
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Interest Rates Going Nowhere
Tom Scollon
|
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Well they are not going far. Despite all the shenanigans over the last week or so with bonds in the US and the sell down in global equity markets things have not really changed.
Read more |
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ASX 200
David Dixon
|
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Students who attended the recent Adelaide ProfitSource 1-Day Training Workshop at which I presented would understand the importance of the ABC Pressure Point Tool in forecasting future price support/resistance levels on a chart.
Read more |
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Hammering Wave 4
Jordan Craw
|
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There has been much written about the origin of candlestick charting and its uses so I won’t bore you with the standard story.
Read more |
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Asian shares shrug off US drop
Julia Lee
|
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The US market has failed to break to new highs, with the DOW forming a double top.
Read more |
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The Pure Essence
Tom Scollon
|
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The reality is that most investors use fundamentals as the basis for buying and selling stocks. That I understand and cannot argue with.
Read more |
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WalMart Testing Support
Oscar Lee
|
|
In recent weeks the US market has shown signs of increasing volatility. It seems that each time the market wants to move up it gets forcefully sold off.
Read more |
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US Sub-prime Impact
Julia Lee
|
|
US stocks took a tumble this week due to concern over the US sub-prime mortgage market. Bear Stearns was at the centre of the storm with the stock price reaching almost one year lows.
Read more |
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The End Is Not Nigh
Tom Scollon
|
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You might have been forgiven for thinking on last Wednesday that we were witnessing the beginning of the end. Well in some investors' (or commentators!) minds it is the end of the big Bull Run.
Read more |
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Trade the Test
Jordan Craw
|
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Trading a break of a trend line is one of the oldest technical trading methods around.
Read more |
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Dissension About Metals
Tom Scollon
|
|
We are currently seeing divergence in the metals outlook. Again this is symptomatic of cycle tops.
Read more |
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The Times are a Changing, or are they?
David Dixon
|
|
Over the last two months I have to tell you I have been getting a little frustrated.
Read more |
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You Went Away in May and You are Still Away
Tom Scollon
|
|
For all those who berated me in May about my reference to the adage 'sell in May and go away' maybe you want to give some credence to what has been a long-term habit of the market. And this year has been no different.
Read more |
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CFDs – The Next Generation?
John Jeffery
|
|
The majority of traders already know that some form of leverage must be used if you want to make short term trades and reap any benefit from small movements in price.
Read more |
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Against the Grain
Jordan Craw
|
|
Taking a contrarian view is often what trading (and investing) is all about.
Read more |
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Meteorology and Trading
John Jeffery
|
|
Meteorology involves collecting large amounts of data from many different sources in order to predict what the weather will do.
Read more |
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Oh So Delicately Poised
Tom Scollon
|
|
We all know markets excite. They can cause stress.
Read more |
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Wheat at All Time Highs
Mario La Marra
|
|
The Chicago Wheat futures market has been a great place to be for bullish traders.
Read more |
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Gann Analysis to Perfection on the Dow
Noel Campbell
|
|
There is great uncertainty in equities markets right now, with the fallout from the sub-prime mortgage debacle dealing a heavy blow to the Dow Jones Industrial Index.
Read more |
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Hallelujah I’m A Bear
Tom Scollon
|
|
Because by the time this goes to print I will be back going long again. I just can’t help myself. Maybe I have an addiction. Maybe I have a problem.
Read more |
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Bear Market Watchlist
Mario La Marra
|
|
Now that our global markets are experiencing a pullback it’s a good time to create a watch list of companies to trade during times like these, for both long and short positions.
Read more |
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Futures – A Definition
Noel Campbell
|
|
It certainly has been a wild few weeks on the markets, a sharp contrast from the upside we’ve seen for the past four years.
Read more |
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Corn Finding Support
Mario La Marra
|
|
Since the November 2005 low the Corn market has made a steady push upwards, posting progressively higher bottoms up through September 2006. Then, in September, Corn almost doubled in price, hitting a significant top in late February 2007.
Read more |
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RSI Support
Jordan Craw
|
|
In this age of computers and technical trading software, Welles Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains one of the most popular indicators in technical analysis. <
Read more |
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How I missed the biggest bull week in a decade
Tom Scollon
|
|
Not sure if it’s been quite a decade but it does not matter. I sold down and tried my hardest to be a bear and I had a miserable week. It confirmed all I have always believed.
Read more |
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Sail or Fail, It’s Crunch Time!
David Dixon
|
|
Over the past month there have been many great shorting opportunities for students that follow the Safety in the Market trading system.
Read more |
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Is Wheat Now Overbought?
Mario La Marra
|
|
In Issue 221 of the Trading Tutors Newsletter, published 17 August 2007, we looked at the Chicago Wheat futures market.
Read more |
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Let no man write my epitaph
Tom Scollon
|
|
Thank you for your many emails. As anticipated your comments had two things in common. Firstly you all had strong views – in a frightening sort of way.
Read more |
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Back to the Basics
Rick Akdagcik
|
|
With the increased volatility in the markets, the past few weeks have not provided trend traders with an abundance of long trading opportunities.
Read more |
|
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|
Deviation from the Norm
Jordan Craw
|
|
Bollinger Bands are one of the most widely used and well regarded technical indicators around. One of the reasons for their popularity is that they are a directional analysis tool as well as a measure of volatility.
Read more |
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Lessons of history
John Jeffery
|
|
To believe in the predictive power of analysis is to accept a couple of assumptions.
Read more |
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Putting on the bear hat
John Jeffery
|
|
This may sound unseasonable. Most market commentators are beginning to come around to the idea that the current pullback was an expected correction and things are going to waltz along as before.
Read more |
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Strength in ADX Numbers Revisited
Jordan Craw
|
|
Trend strength is an important part of trading directionally when it comes to most systems. A while ago, we looked at an additional criteria that a ProfitSource user employed at one of our software training sessions.
Read more |
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Thank you for your get well messages
Tom Scollon
|
|
And thank you for those of you who wrote in with very sincere concern for my state of mind. I am sorry if I alarmed you but I have found getting things off my chest a calming process.
Read more |
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|
Cotton Away Again
Mario La Marra
|
|
From the low created in the beginning of 2005, Cotton (CT-SpotV) could not break through the resistance met at around 58 cents.
Read more |
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Still Standing, But For How Long?
David Dixon
|
|
The last two weeks have been interesting in our local markets to say the least. Since the August 2007 lows around 60% of our ASX Sectors have managed to recover to a reasonable level.
Read more |
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Fasten your seatbelts
Julia Lee
|
|
The US share market had its biggest rally in four years this week, followed by a pullback. The rally came after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cut interest rates by 0.5%, from 5.25% to 4.75%.
Read more |
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Fix Your Mortgage?
Tom Scollon
|
|
I read with curiosity a personal finance article (in Australia) about fixing your home loan interest rate. Well, whether you fix it is going to depend on what part of the globe you live in.
Read more |
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Repeat In S&P500
Mario La Marra
|
|
As a general baseline of analysis, history gives us an indication of how our markets will react at current levels.
Read more |
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|
The Right and Wrong of Forecasting
Noel Campbell
|
|
Will the market hit a top today? If you had asked the question regarding the SPI200 each day over the last week or so the answer would have been yes.
Read more |
|
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|
USDLR Fall Not Over
Tom Scollon
|
|
The market fall may be mostly over but there is still more pain ahead – for the US dollar, anyway. On the flipside, currencies like the lil’ Aussie battler are set to rise further.
Read more |
|
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|
That’s Gold
John Jeffery
|
|
I’m still a bear in the US. In an article I wrote some weeks back I mentioned that the US bond market was pointing to about a 50/50 chance of recession next year in the US.
Read more |
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Timing Wave 5 Buys
Jordan Craw
|
|
This week I want to review a recent Wave 5 Buy trade on Aspreva Pharmaceuticals Corp. (ASPV:NASD).
Read more |
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|
Does History Repeat?
Darryl Nagel
|
|
Like many traders with an unhealthy sense of their own infallibility, I made many mistakes starting out.
Read more |
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Belief and Patience is the Key
Rick Akdagcik
|
|
In keeping with the theme of market cycles, Safety in the Market students would be comfortable with the doctrine that history repeats.
Read more |
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Who’s Driving Now?
David Dixon
|
|
There has been a lot of talk in recent times about whether the current Australian market rally will continue or if the brakes will come on.
Read more |
|
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|
Wave 4 Speaks Volumes
Jordan Craw
|
|
Volume is one of the simplest and most undervalued indicators around. Like indicators in general, volume alone does not give the whole picture.
Read more |
|
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|
Storm in a Tea Cup
David Dixon
|
|
It was the 20th Anniversary of the 1987 stock market crash last month, and the last two to three weeks have been quite fretish.
Read more |
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|
Glory of Gold
Tom Scollon
|
|
Gold attracts a disproportional level of interest. Gold and gold stocks weigh minutely on the market compared with, say, base metals.
Read more |
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Stop and Start
Sinan Koray
|
|
What is it that you need to change to get better at trading? What can you do to increase your profits and confidence?
Read more |
|
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|
Back up the lumber truck!
Mathew Barnes
|
|
As traders, we can sometimes spend so much time looking for the latest technical analysis indicator that we forget to have a good look at the past history of the market we are trading.
Read more |
|
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|
Know your weightings
Tom Scollon
|
|
As I am sure most of you know sharemarkets are divided into sectors. For example Financials excluding property is about 40% of the Sharemarket, Materials is about 20%, and Industrials are about 8%.
Read more |
|
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Corn Milestones
Mario La Marra
|
|
One commodity market that lends itself particularly well to Gann-based analysis is Corn (C-SpotV).
Read more |
|
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|
Low risk idea with CGF
Rick Akdagcik
|
|
This may not come as a startling notion, but I always look for the trades that are most likely to go in my favour.
Read more |
|
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|
Financials Sector
David Dixon
|
|
In the last issue of the Trading Tutors Newsletter, Chief Editor Tom Scollon offered some interesting insights into how he weights one sector to another.
Read more |
|
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Resistance Becomes Support
Jordan Craw
|
|
The phrase “resistance becomes support” has been taught, traded and no doubt even argued by many a trader over the years.
Read more |
|
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|
The See-Saw Effect
Julia Lee
|
|
The US stock market weathered a volatile week that seesawed between optimism and dismay.
Read more |
|
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|
What To Do?
Tom Scollon
|
|
Markets are tough right now – an understatement you might say. So what to do?
Read more |
|
|
|
Pivot With It
Jordan Craw
|
|
Pivot points are an Indictor often used by floor traders or day traders as a quick and easy way to calculate resistance and support levels.
Read more |
|
|
|
Interested in Bonds?
John Jeffery
|
|
My recent articles have been focused on the US bond markets and how the prevailing interest rate direction will affect mortgages as well as the continuing threat of the sub-prime credit crunch.
Read more |
|
|
|
Throwing a curve ball
John Jeffery
|
|
If you’d asked about the market this time last year, the consensus would have been “bullish”.
Read more |
|
|
|
Confirming Breakouts With On Balance Volume
Jordan Craw
|
|
Trading breakouts is a popular technical trading method that can be applied in a variety of styles.
Read more |
|
|
|
Power Ranges
Noel Campbell
|
|
The equities markets across the globe have certainly had their share of ups and downs as the effects of the credit crisis continue to spread.
Read more |
|
|
|
Going Out On the 2008 Limb
Tom Scollon
|
|
And yes, I might add, we would like it to get better. So true – but we do have to take what the market dishes out.
Read more |
|
|
|
Interest Rates
John Jeffery
|
|
As the New Year gets under way, uncertainty continues to hold sway throughout the asset classes.
Read more |
|
|
|
Double Top? Which Bank?
Noel Campbell
|
|
Welcome to the first monthly Newsletter of 2008. I hope that you enjoyed bringing in the New Year and the festive season.
Read more |
|
|
|
BHP – The Big Australian Stumbles
Noel Campbell
|
|
It certainly has been a volatile few months in the markets, and almost all stocks have been hit by the storm.
Read more |
|
|
|
Just Do It
Sinan Koray
|
|
You have a job. You are required to be in the office at 8:30AM and work until 5:30PM.
Read more |
|
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|
Are We Nearly There Yet?
John Jeffery
|
|
The most important question on the lips of traders and investors across the globe is, quite simply, “When will we see an end to the turmoil?”.
Read more |
|
|
|
Trailing Stops
Jordan Craw
|
|
It’s funny how old clichés often ring true, but then again I guess that’s how they become clichés in the first place.
Read more |
|
|
|
A Technical reason to use Fundamentals
John Jeffery
|
|
The ultimate challenge for any investor is to be able to skilfully combine both technical and fundamental data.
Read more |
|
|
|
Up in smoke – multiple confirmations to trade
John Jeffery
|
|
A few clients in the US have begun to ask questions about Integrated Investor and how they might incorporate integrated techniques into their own trading.
Read more |
|
|
|
SIMS Revisited
John Jeffery
|
|
At the very beginning of the year there were a multitude of shares that looked like they were offering value.
Read more |
|
|
|
Picking market bottoms is fraught with danger
Andrew Page
|
|
One of the biggest mistakes made by novice traders is that they feel that in order to be successful,
Read more |
|
|
|
MACD – the Mac Daddy of technical indicators
Andrew Page
|
|
Moving averages have long been a favourite tool of technical analysts because of their simplicity and predictive power.
Read more |
|
|
|
Continued Volatility
Julia Lee
|
|
After the heavy losses of last week US markets are see-sawing and desperately trying to recover.
Read more |
|
|
|
Reading the market through bonds
John Jeffery
|
|
Bonds are interest rate instruments which often emit clues as to where the equity market might go.
Read more |
|
|
|
Trading a Sideways Market
Mathew Barnes
|
|
After some serious falls in late September and early October, the Australian sharemarket is trading sideways, in what we call a trading range.
Read more |
|
|
|
Worrisome Good News
Tom Scollon
|
|
Yes I know I am a worry wart but there are some insidious things happening that are causing me concern.
Read more |
|
|
|
The Sector Spectre
John Jeffery
|
|
One way that major financial institutions go about their stock selection is to employ a process known as top down analysis.
Read more |
|
|
|
Spring in Pairs
John Jeffery
|
|
In the last edition of the Trading Tutors Newsletter I wrote an article about picking strong or weak sectors and choosing long or short trading opportunities within those sectors.
Read more |
|
|
|
A Thorny Subject
John Jeffery
|
|
With the equity markets still in disarray from the tight global credit environment, many observers will be looking forward to 2009 with continued pessimism.
Read more |
|
|
|
BHP – A Follow-up
Noel Campbell
|
|
Welcome to all our Safety in the Market traders to this month’s newsletter and of course Happy New Year.
Read more |
|
|
|
Taking off the bear hat
John Jeffery
|
|
Back in 2007 I wrote an article entitled "Putting on the Bear Hat"
Read more |
|
|
|
MACD Confirmation Signals
John Jeffery
|
|
The MACD (moving average divergence / convergence) is a popular and often cited trading indicator.
Read more |
|
|
|
ANZ – It’s all in the Percentages
Noel Campbell
|
|
When it comes to trading and following Australian Stocks I tend to prefer sticking with the top 20 stocks.
Read more |
|
|
|
Survival of the Fittest
John Jeffery
|
|
This article is going to argue two points which can not readily be taken from any chart. The first is that the market is in a bottoming process (particularly in the US) although the view from the chart is somewhat clouded.
Read more |
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|
Keep an Eye on Volume!
Aaron Lynch
|
|
As the new week unfolds in Australia off the back off the 3rd largest "up" week in the Dow Jones history the cynic in me always has to think this is the next part of the dead cat bounce or the real deal.
Read more |
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AMP - Oversold Bounce with More Upside?
Noel Campbell
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Welcome all Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter. The last couple of weeks have been highlighted by a dramatic sell-off and then return to strength through the recent bounce in prices. The big question is, has the long awaited ‘bear market rally’ begun?
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Looking for Relative Strength
Tim Walker
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By now many of you will be aware that the Australian Securities and Investments Commission has decided, in its wisdom, to extend the ban on short selling of financial stocks until 31 May 2009.
Read more |
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It’s All Relative
Jordan Craw
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Over this period of bear market action I have been continually dismayed by statistics used in the mainstream media. Statements like "...the Dow had its largest one day decline in history" may sound fair enough, but when we are talking about absolute changes in price they are really quite useless.
Read more |
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It's a Bull Market (and that's official)
John Jeffery
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A few years ago the media seemed to be particularly eager to announce the beginning of the bear market and as soon as we experienced a 20% fall in the major indices, all manner of pundits (without a cent actually in the market) crawled out of the woodwork.
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A Standard Rally?
Jordan Craw
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The current up move that is occurring across many of the major equity indices around the world has many including myself asking, at least rhetorically, how far can it go? A long way if it is the beginning of a new bull market! However, let’s assume for this discussion that we expect some more bumps along the way before a new bull market takes hold.
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How Sold Are We?
Jordan Craw
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In my previous article A Standard Rally from Trading Tutors Newsletter Issue #303, we discussed the current rally in terms of the largest previous rally during this bear market. In this article we are going to look at the lows made over the past 12 months in comparison to significant lows in history.
Read more |
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Control, We Have Lift Off
Noel Campbell
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Well the last month since speaking with you has been basically nothing but up with only short time duration reactions, indicating a strong trend.
Read more |
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Can you pallet it?
John Jeffery
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In the article entitled "Brambles - A Thorny Subject" I considered the usefulness of combining On Balance Volume and Bollinger Bands as a simple trading method.
Read more |
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Avoiding the Next Brisconnections
Jordan Craw
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There has been quite a bit controversy in the press regarding Brisconnections in the last few months and for good reason, the situation really is astounding. What seemed like a safe, income stock to many retail investors was actually an instrument carrying huge liabilities.
Read more |
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Setting Stops
John Jeffery
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Everyone knows that stop loss orders should be used for each and every active market position. The reasons which are usually cited revolve around risk mitigation, being free from watching the market 24/7 and even the psychological impact of consistent trade planning.
Read more |
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Plan to take action
Aaron Lynch
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Island reversal patters are powerful indicators in many markets. The notion that a gap in the markets price action is a guide to strength or weakness in a particular trend is well held by many technical analysts.
Read more |
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Need a Leg Up?
Noel Campbell
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Welcome all our Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter. While April proved a slightly tougher month for trading than March it still essentially provided more to the upside for the overall market.
Read more |
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Bring Back the Uptick Rule
Jordan Craw
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What was the SEC thinking leading up to July 6th 2007? That is the day when the uptick rule - a rule in place since 1934 to help keep markets orderly - was removed. Famous Investor Lazlo Birinyi has been among those calling for its reinstatement for some time and is now joined by several members of US congress. It’s about time!
Read more |
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Elliott Supporting Gann and Fibonacci
Jordan Craw
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Two names synonymous with Technical Analysis are Gann and Elliott, each having their die hard followers. As in many walks of life, people claim their area of study to be the best. Just look at diets, martial arts, weight loss programs or anything related to some kind of personal improvement. Practitioners of each style or method claim theirs is the best, hands down. The funny thing is most work in a similar manner to the same end. Trading in many ways is no different. I am a fan of the saying, “If it works use it!!”
Read more |
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Gaps – Fade or Follow?
Jordan Craw
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The market myths that many people seem to hold as truth often amaze me. One from an Australian perspective is that if the US Market has a down day (overnight in Australia) the Aussie market will finish lower the next day. No doubt a similar belief may be held in the States regarding Australian and Asian markets, though I am sure their movements are far less publicized.
Read more |
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You’ve Gotta Love Seven
Noel Campbell
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Welcome from me to all our Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter. I’ve just got back from the Adelaide Interactive Trading Workshop yesterday that was conducted with my mate Tim Walker. It is the second one in a row for us and really gave us a chance to build upon the current market action we had been following for the past couple of weeks. It’s personally given my stock CFD trading a boost as we have come across so many great set-ups that were just too good to pass up. I want to share a potential beauty with you on Seven Network (SEV).
Read more |
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Patience is not just a card game
John Jeffery
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In Jack Schwager’s famous interviews of the ‘Market Wizards’ he compiled a list of the ten criteria that are present in all successful traders. Amongst that list was one which I believe to be the most glaringly difficult to master, that of patience. Sinan Koray and his excellent pieces on trading psychology will be the most expert individual to help you come to terms with and master the art of waiting, however, there are some very simple technical indicators that you can employ to decide whether or not now is a good time to be trading a given share, index or future.
Read more |
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Is it Really Golden?
Jordan Craw
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Moving averages (MAs) are often the first technical indicator learnt when studying technical analysis, and why not they are straight forward and help gauge where a market is in relation to its history.
Read more |
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Hammering Wave 4
Jordan Craw
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There has been much written about the origin of candlestick charting and its uses so I won’t bore you with the standard story.
Read more |
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Who’s left to do the heavy lifting?
Aaron Lynch
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As we turned the corner into the new financial year its seems the market is performing a U turn when compared the first 6 months of 2009.
Read more |
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Opportunities, Opportunities, Opportunities (Everywhere)
Noel Campbell
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Welcome from me to all our Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter.
Read more |
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What is Your Bias?
Jordan Craw
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A diversified approach is important in any investment strategy. There are varying levels of diversity from Macro to Micro levels.
Read more |
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Contrary to Popular Opinion
Jordan Craw
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Looking back through articles from earlier this year How Sold Are We and A Standard Rally, it is clear I was initially skeptical of the March low and subsequent rally.
Read more |
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Retracing Volume
Jordan Craw
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Ask a professional from almost any field of endeavor and they will almost certainly agree that performing the basics well is vital to success.
Read more |
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When will the Pull Back come?
John Jeffery
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For the last 4 weeks, media pundits and market commentators have (rather tiredly in my opinion) prattled on about shares “getting ahead of the fundamentals” and how the market should “pull back”.
Read more |
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Keeping to the Bigger Picture!
Aaron Lynch
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With all the media hype in our faces on a daily basis it’s close to impossible to completely shut off the radar to outside influences.
Read more |
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What a Success!
Noel Campbell
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Welcome from me to all our Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter. I’m in the midst of final preparation for our first, and perhaps only ever Master Forecasting Summit.
Read more |
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Getting Started in Futures
Tim Walker
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Every week at seminars I meet students who want to start trading in Futures. Some even have accounts open, but just don’t feel ready to start or feel a bit intimidated.
Read more |
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Come Ride with Me
Tom Scollon
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I am sure SharesBulletin subscribers will not mind me sharing an interesting email from one subscriber - Glynn.
Read more |
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ABC or ABC?
Jordan Craw
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No doubt many have heard of the connections between Elliott Wave and Gann Theory.
Read more |
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Home On The Range
Jordan Craw
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Recent comments from the Reserve Bank of Australia suggest an impending boom in house prices.
Read more |
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Gold shining again?
Tom Scollon
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Yes a little bit of shine has come back to gold after so long in the doldrums. Let’s look at the daily Elliott:
Read more |
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The Long And The Short Of It
Aaron Lynch
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Welcome to the Safety in the Market monthly newsletter, this calendar year has presented some great trading opportunities as we saw a major low form in March and some interim bottoms moving higher.
Read more |
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AMP – How Good Can It Get?
Noel Campbell
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Welcome from me to all our Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter. I’m in the midst of final preparation for my first online one-day workshop on SPI Forecasting.
Read more |
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How to Trade
Tim Walker
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At the Gann Jump Start workshop in Melbourne in early October I was asked by a trader about a set up in Lihir Gold (LGL). He had identified this set up, but couldn’t work out how to get on board as it raced away. Let’s work through this and see what you might have achieved by following the rules. First, here is the set up.
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Know when to fold ‘em
John Jeffery
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It’s been a good few weeks in the markets for HUBB clients. During the September Trading key session 2, we focused on picking a couple of Elliott Wave 4 trades using our simple checklist.
Read more |
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United Group of Indicators
John Jeffery
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Institutions are known to undertake a huge amount of analysis when looking at asset allocation and specific stock selection. Depending on the institution, various forms of fundamental, consensus and technical techniques will be employed.
Read more |
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Caveat Rally
Jordan Craw
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Accepted truths are an interesting concept, especially in the stock market. In February this year, the fact that banks, the stock market and the economy were all falling apart was an accepted truth.
Read more |
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AMP – When at First You Don’t Succeed
Noel Campbell
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Welcome from me to all our Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter.
Read more |
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The Power of 50%
Tim Walker
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In the October issue we looked at Lihir Gold (LGL:ASX). For anyone who has been watching Gold futures reach all-time high prices, Gold stocks such as LGL offer great opportunities to participate in the move trading CFDs.
Read more |
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Wotif it goes well?
John Jeffery
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After such a successful launch to a limited client segment, it’s a good time to reflect on the first 2 months of the Tradingkey and review the methodology that has yielded close to a 70% success rate.
Read more |
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Conventional Wisdom
Jordan Craw
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With the benefit of twenty twenty hindsight, it is little wonder the Financials sector has been such a strong performer since the March low, after all it was among the worst performers leading into it.
Read more |
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Exchange Traded Fun
Jordan Craw
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The last few years have seen Exchange Traded Funds or ETFs, become exceptionally popular, especially in the United States.
Read more |
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Markets are living things?
Tom Scollon
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Well we know humans are living things and we know animals are and of course plants are too. But are markets really living things?
Read more |
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Energy Efficiency
John Jeffery
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In the most recent issue of the Self Directed Investor (a free newsletter for HUBB software users) I demonstrated how the relative performances of the different sectors are likely to change over the next few weeks and months.
Read more |
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A Cracker of a Christmas?
Aaron Lynch
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Welcome to the final Safety in the Market newsletter for 2009. I think it’s safe to say this year has flown past both professionally and personally for me.
Read more |
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Dow Jones Futures – A Price Cluster of Beauty?
Noel Campbell
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Welcome to all our Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter. I’ve been out on the road a couple of times over the last month, in particular in Brisbane and Melbourne for our Interactive Trading Workshops.
Read more |
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Assessing Stocks in a Stronger Position
Tim Walker
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2009 has been a great year for trading. After strong falls in the first 2 months of the year, the market made a major bear market low in early March and has been up strongly since that time.
Read more |
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Bring Back The Uptick Rule
Jordan Craw
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What was the SEC thinking leading up to July 6th 2007? That is the day when the uptick rule - a rule in place since 1934 to help keep markets orderly - was removed.
Read more |
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Number 5 is Alive!
John Jeffery
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The market’s continuing rally over the last 9 months has presented a vast number of trend continuation trades for ProfitSource users.
Read more |
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It’s All Relative
Jordan Craw
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Over the previous period of bear market action I had been continually dismayed by statistics used in the mainstream media.
Read more |
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Your Mission - If You Choose to Accept It
Noel Campbell
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Welcome all Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter. Firstly I’d like to say Happy New Year to you, I hope you got a chance to relax and enjoy some time with family and friends.
Read more |
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The Euro – Strong Again in 2010?
Mathew Barnes
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Firstly I’d like to wish all our Safety in the Market students a very Happy New Year, and all the best for 2010. I wish you all the joy, happiness and winning trades you could ever ask for!
Read more |
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Christmas Spending Money
Tim Walker
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Welcome all Safety in the Market traders to 2010, which will undoubtedly be a fantastic year for trading.
Read more |
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You and Your Methodology
Tom Scollon
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In some recent editorial I have referred to methodology and making sure whatever system you use is well founded and has been successfully tested. I would like to elaborate a little more on this.
Read more |
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Trades to Take and Others to Avoid
Tim Walker
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When last we looked at Santos I left you with a little challenge to spot why I wouldn’t take an ABC short trade that was signalled on Tuesday 1 December. How did you go? It’s not too late to go and have a look now before you read on. The simple reason was that Point B, which occurred on 27 November, sat on the 50% level of a major range. To find this we look at the Weekly Chart, as follows.
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The Best, the Worst and the ASX 200
Jordan Craw
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2009 was a year of recoveries – for the economy, the financial system and battered stocks. Reading varied financial research over the past few months, there have been a number of themes that are consistent. These being firstly that after the ‘economic sweet spot’ in the third quarter of 2009, the speed of the recovery will slow in 2010. Flowing on from this is the idea that 2010 will see more a stock picker’s market compared to 2009 where almost all ships were lifted with the tide.
Read more |
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When Chaos Abounds
Tom Scollon
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Perhaps chaos is slightly too strong a word for what we have experienced in global markets in the last few days. However it has caused some consternation, otherwise we would not have seen this kind of action:
Read more |
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Entry Signals to Trade Elliott Wave
John Jeffery
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In the early 1980’s a trader and a psychiatrist were having an ongoing dispute as to whether great traders were born or created. In order to resolve their positions the pair suggested that they recruit and train several individuals, provide them with accounts and see how they faired. The two having the argument were Richard Dennis and Bill Eckhardt and the subsequent experiment became the very famous ‘Turtle Traders’.
Read more |
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Getting off that train
Tom Scollon
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Late last year I talked about ‘sticking to your guns’ when you believe in your strategy – despite there maybe being some headwinds. This of course assumes that your strategy was well founded in the first place and has been successfully and repeatedly tested. This is all part of having a proven methodology which you use over and over again.
Read more |
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Commodity Play
Jordan Craw
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Forbes recently conducted interviews with a number of billionaires to get their views on the year ahead. When asked about his view on Gold, the owner of the Dallas Mavericks, Mark Cuban said, "Gold is a religion; it's not an asset class. It is always a bubble, so I am a sell."
Read more |
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A likely scenario?
Tom Scollon
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As I search to fathom out the melee of the last couple of weeks I try and contemplate likely scenarios. I say likely as to talk of just possible scenarios is really just sitting on the fence and I am not good at that. Nor can I say I am good at picking short term moves. I say ‘moves’ as I am inclined to think a short term ‘trend’ is almost a contradiction of terms. I do not aspire to pick the short term moves but only to understand them as a foundation to at least the medium term move ahead.
Read more |
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Beware, Bears Ahead?
Noel Campbell
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Welcome all Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter. What a month it has been since I last spoke to you in this forum.
Read more |
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Classic Gann Setups – June 22nd, 2007
Mathew Barnes
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I’m writing this article having just completed another 3 day Gann Mastery Workshop where we put together a forecast for the US Dollar / Japanese Yen currency pair (FXUSJY in ProfitSource).
Read more |
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The Slight Edge
Tim Walker
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Before Christmas a client very kindly gave me a copy of a book. It is called The Slight Edge by Jeff Olson.
Read more |
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The Gap Myth
Jordan Craw
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The market myths that many people seem to hold as truth often amaze me. One from an Australian perspective is that if the US Market has down day (overnight in Australia) the Aussie market will finish lower the next day.
Read more |
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Commodity Play Revision
Jordan Craw
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Ever written something and upon reading it later realize you didn’t say quite what you meant to? Well that’s exactly what happened recently with my previous article on the hidden foreign exchange risks that often exist in trading instruments based in a currency other than your own.
Read more |
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Range Trading Markets
Tom Scollon
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Most of us of course like trending markets. They have long moves – up or down – and are easier to identify and invest into and we generally sleep better at night. But we can’t have our way all the time and sometimes markets have insufficient buying or selling force to move them strongly in one direction.
Read more |
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Elliott and its ways
Tom Scollon
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To many Elliott can be very frustrating and tedious and this can be a major turnoff in using it.
Read more |
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Dow Jones Analysis
John Jeffery
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There are many different methods available to traders and investors when it comes to predicting future price movements. Anyone who is trading equities or their associated derivatives will know that an integrated approach (combining technical analysis with fundamental analysis) is by far the most accurate and therefore the most desirable. Of course, there are instruments which can be traded which do not lend themselves to these techniques; things like currencies, futures and indices. When faced with these challenges, how should the trader adapt?
Read more |
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What if?
Tom Scollon
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What if China’s warning of a double dip recession were to come true? What would you do? When would you do it?
Read more |
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Exchange Traded Fun
Jordan Craw
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The last few years have seen Exchange Traded Funds or ETFs, become exceptionally popular, especially in the United States. This popularity is well justified as ETFs offer an easy way of gaining exposure to stock groups and commodities.
Read more |
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Trading Tests
Jordan Craw
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Trading a break of a trend line is one of the oldest technical trading methods around. Like all trading signals, it has its share of false breaks. However, there are a few simple methods to help weed out these false signals.
Read more |
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Comparing Stocks to the Index
Tim Walker
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If you have been following the SPI over the past 6 months you might have been getting a bit frustrated trying to determine which way it was going.
Read more |
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Top Down Analysis
Jordan Craw
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We continue to see enquiries at Hubb about sector based analysis. No doubt due to the fact it is taught at a variety of seminars and of course because of the inherent value in doing sector analysis. With that in mind let’s take a look at how a top down approach can be employed.
Read more |
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Know Your Bias
Jordan Craw
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A diversified approach is important in any investment strategy. There are varying levels of diversity from Macro to Micro levels. It is commonly accepted that using a combination of property, stocks and cash is a sound diversification strategy on a macro level.
Read more |
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Muddy Waters
Jordan Craw
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Well the Caveat Rally of 2009 (discussed in Issue #333) ended in October ’09 as the balance of bulls and bears evened out. Up until then it was hard to find anyone that was outright bullish.
Read more |
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Ascending / Descending Triangles
John Jeffery
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If you are looking to trade a break out on an intraday chart, one pattern which is often quite useful and favoured by currency traders is the ascending or descending triangle.
Read more |
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ABC or ABC?
Jordan Craw
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No doubt many have heard of the connections between Elliott Wave and Gann Theory.
Read more |
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Beware the Ambush
Noel Campbell
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Welcome all Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter. Last month I wrote to you about the chance of a bounce on the SPI200 and therefore some of the key stocks of the ASX20, out of the 7 May low.
Read more |
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The Ability to Call the Big Moves
Mathew Barnes
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David Bowden says in the Number One Trading Plan that “it is from yearly or seasonal ranges that you get the ability to call the big moves. There is no other way.”
Read more |
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Double Tops
Tim Walker
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I would like to invite you to do an exercise. This exercise is optional, and is only relevant if you are looking to vastly increase your trading profits.
Read more |
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Volume Patterns on Recent Trades
Lauren Jones
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Let me start by introducing myself. My name is Lauren Jones and I have been working in Education Support for Safety in the Market since August 2009.
Read more |
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Integrated Analysis
John Jeffery
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I had the recent pleasure of attending and presenting at Optionetic’s annual traders summit, Oasis, earlier this month.
Read more |
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Invest by the Book
John Jeffery
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Brokers and equity analysts will use a wide variety of financial tools to determine the true worth of a share.
Read more |
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Depository Receipts
Jordan Craw
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British Petroleum has been in the news recently for all the wrong reasons and as you can see from Chart 1 its share price is down over 40% this year.
Read more |
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It’s Like War
Noel Campbell
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Welcome all Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter. Since I wrote to you last month the market has continued on a roller coaster ride.
Read more |
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Gaps, 50% Retracements, Resistance Cards
Lauren Jones
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Last month we talked about some profitable short trades on Australian stocks that were potentially the formation of a first section down from the April high.
Read more |
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Entry Signals to Trade Elliott Wave
John Jeffery
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In the early 1980’s a trader and a psychiatrist were having an ongoing dispute as to whether great traders were born or created.
Read more |
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Top Down Analysis
Jordan Craw
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We continue to see enquiries about sector based analysis, no doubt due to its value and the fact it is taught at a variety of seminars. With that in mind, this time let’s take a look at how a top down approach can be employed.
Read more |
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Gann Price Targets, Fundamental Analysis & Elliott Wave
John Jeffery
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By employing technical analysis a trader can create certain price targets which will go some way to help confirm or reject an Elliott Wave count.
Read more |
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Pre-computed Scans
Jordan Craw
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The Pre-computed scans are a particularly useful time saving feature in the various HUBB software programs.
Read more |
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Bear Market Double Top
Noel Campbell
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Welcome all Safety in the Market traders to this month’s dedicated newsletter. Since I wrote to you last month several Australian stocks managed to continue to rally and break their June high’s.
Read more |
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More 50% Retracements
Lauren Jones
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If you’ve been reading the Discussion Forum you’ve probably noticed that quite a few students are watching double tops appearing at 50% levels on several markets.
Read more |
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Is it Really Deadly?
Jordan Craw
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The ‘Death Cross’ is a term used to describe the behaviour of two moving averages in relation to each other.
Read more |
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Navigating Instruments
Jordan Craw
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This week my TTN article is aimed at those using HUBB Financial software products, whether that be ProfitSource, OptionGear, ValueGain, the flagship Integrated Investor or the free HUBB Investor (www.hubbinvestor.com ).
Read more |